Welcome to the January edition of the Wealth Awesome newsletter. Thank you to the 20,000+ 🇨🇦 subscribers who join us today!
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Market Update
Summary
New Year, Same Rates: Central Banks Hit Snooze as Growth Tiptoes Forward
Central banks kicked off 2026 in wait-and-see mode, with both the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve expected to hold interest rates steady.
Canadian data continues to thread the needle: growth is modest, inflation is easing but still above target, and business sentiment has improved — yet demand remains soft enough to keep policymakers cautious.
Canada’s GDP likely rebounded slightly in November after an October contraction, helped by stronger retail sales and the end of strike disruptions, though manufacturing remains under pressure from trade exposure and supply constraints.
South of the border, the Fed is also staying put as U.S. growth proves resilient and labour markets cool — but don’t crack — keeping rate cuts firmly on pause for now
⏱ TLDR: Inflation is behaving… but not that well. Growth isn’t great… but not bad enough. So central banks are choosing patience over panic.
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Key Takeaways 💡
🏦 Rates on Ice: Sticky core inflation keeps both the BoC and Fed firmly in “hold” mode despite softer growth signals.
📊 Stability Over Stimulus: Modest rebounds in GDP and improving business sentiment suggest a slow grind forward, not a sharp downturn.
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Canadian stocks over the last 30 days (end December - January 2026)
The TSX delivered a mixed but energetic month, marked by sharp winners and notable laggards.
Commodity and materials names led the upside, with standout gains from CCJ (+34.96%), WPM (+22.48%), SU (+20.33%), and AEM (+19.20%), reflecting renewed strength in energy and precious metals.
Financials were broadly positive but modest, with BMO, BNS, TD, and ENB posting steady gains. On the downside, Shopify (-18.86%) was the clear drag, joined by weakness in Thomson Reuters (-10.60%) and CP (-2.43%).
Overall, leadership rotated firmly toward commodities, while growth and tech names struggled to keep pace.
Thats it for this month!
The Wealth Awesome Team
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