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Stock: Freehold Royalties (TSX:FRU)
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Quick Take: A TFSA-friendly energy royalty name with a ~6%+ yield, strong profitability, and cash flow that’s less operationally “hands-on” than producers (because it earns royalties). The stock is sitting near its 52-week high, so upside may depend more on oil/gas and deal flow than “multiple expansion.”
Key Metrics (as of Tuesday’s close)
Metric | Value |
|---|---|
Price | $17.48 |
Weekly Move (5-day) | +3.7% |
Market Cap | US$2.09B |
P/E (TTM) | 21.9 |
Forward P/E | 19.6 |
52-Week Range | $10.53 – $17.70 |
YTD Return | +15.7% |
Dividend Yield (fwd) | ~6.2% |
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Analyst Insights
Item | Detail |
|---|---|
Consensus Rating | BUY ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ |
Average Target Price | $16.86 |
Upside Potential | -3.53% vs $17.48 |
Breakdown (11 analysts) | Strong Buy: 3 • Buy: 2 • Hold: 6 • Sell: 0 • Strong Sell: 0 |
Read: Street is positive overall, but the average target sits below the current price, implying the market has already priced in a lot of the good news.
Recent News (latest items)
Freehold Royalties declares dividend for February 2026 (monthly dividend maintained).
Freehold Royalties declares dividend for January 2026 (continued consistency in monthly payouts).
COO departure announced (late 2025) (worth noting for operational continuity, even though the business model is royalty-based).
Growth Indicators
Metric | Freehold |
|---|---|
Sales Growth (Next Year) | +3.1% |
EPS Growth (Next Year) | -32.8% |
5-yr EPS Growth Estimate | +11.1% |
Interpretation: Revenue growth expectations are modest, while EPS is expected to normalize lower (common in energy-linked names after strong periods). Longer-term EPS expectations remain positive.
Profitability & Financials (quick read)
Margins: Gross 62.7%, Operating 56.0%, Net 40.2% (very strong for the sector mix).
Balance sheet: Debt/Equity 0.3, Interest coverage 10.5×, Current ratio 1.6 (solid flexibility).
Income profile: Forward yield ~6.2%; payout ratio listed as elevated (133%)—so investors should keep an eye on commodity prices and cash flow coverage.
Technical & Momentum
RSI: 73.2 (strong momentum; can also imply “hot”/near-term overbought conditions)
Price vs 52-week high: 98.8% (right near highs)
Beta (1-yr): 0.70 (less volatile than many energy names)
One-Look Summary
Aspect | Snapshot |
|---|---|
Thesis | High-yield Canadian light-oil producer with disciplined balance sheet and attractive valuation |
Catalysts | Oct 22 earnings; commodity tailwinds; potential capital return updates |
Risks | Oil price volatility, differentials, and potential capex inflation |
Who it’s for | Dividend & value investors seeking energy exposure with monthly income |
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